The East Midlands Derby is rarely a quiet occasion, and Nottingham Forest play host to Leicester City on 11 May 2025, with both clubs nursing wounds from recent results that will sharpen their hunger for local bragging rights.

Match Date: 11 May 2025 ·
Competition: Premier League 2024/2025 ·
Predicted Forest Formation: 4-2-3-1 ·
Predicted Leicester Formation: 4-2-3-1 ·
Recent Forest Loss: Bournemouth 5-0

Quick snapshot

1Confirmed facts
  • The two clubs have met 16 times historically (FootyStats)
  • Match confirmed for 11 May 2025 at 13:15 UTC (FotMob)
  • Forest lead H2H: 6 wins to Leicester’s 5 (FootyStats)
2What’s unclear
  • Official starting XI not confirmed until match day (RotoWire)
  • Murillo’s fitness status listed as questionable (RotoWire)
  • Jakub Stolarczyk’s potential return uncertain (Racing Post)
3Timeline signal
4What’s next
  • Official lineups released on match day from Premier League site (VegasOdds)
  • Forest targeting first league double over Leicester (VegasOdds)
  • Leicester’s 34.7% win probability cited by Opta Analyst (VegasOdds)

The rivalry between these two East Midlands clubs has been shaped by tight margins and shifting momentum across their 16 historical meetings.

Label Value
Date 11 May 2025
Venue City Ground
League Premier League
Rivalry East Midlands Derby
Forest H2H wins 6
Leicester H2H wins 5
H2H draws 5
Forest H2H goals 27
Leicester H2H goals 26
Forest H2H win % 38%
Leicester H2H win % 31%
H2H draw % 31%

What are the predicted lineups for Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City?

Both clubs are reportedly set to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, though these remain predictions rather than confirmed starting XIs. According to FotMob (live stats and match data platform), the predicted Forest XI reads as follows:

Nottingham Forest predicted XI

  • Goalkeeper: Matz Sels
  • Defenders: Ola Aina, Nikola Milenkovic, Morato, Neco Williams
  • Midfielders: Ibrahim Sangaré, Elliot Anderson
  • Attackers: Anthony Elanga, Morgan Gibbs-White, Nicolás Dominguez
  • Striker: Chris Wood

Chris Wood appears consistently across prediction sources as Forest’s leading striker option, with Morgan Gibbs-White anchoring the midfield attack. RotoWire (sports data and lineup analyst) notes that Murillo’s fitness is questionable, which could shuffle the defensive line.

Why this matters

Forest’s home advantage at the City Ground has been factored into predictions, with 22Bet citing odds of 1.34 for a Forest win and a predicted 2-0 scoreline.

Leicester City predicted XI

  • Goalkeeper: Mads Hermansen (or Jakub Stolarczyk if returning)
  • Defenders: James Justin, Wout Faes, Caleb Okoli, Victor Kristiansen
  • Midfielders: Wilfred Ndidi, Harry Winks
  • Attackers: Abdul Fatawu, Facundo Buonanotte, Jordan Ayew
  • Striker: Jamie Vardy

Jamie Vardy’s experience makes him the consistent striker prediction for Leicester. Racing Post (horse racing and sports betting authority) reports that goalkeeper Jakub Stolarczyk may return after missing five games with a groin injury, while Ben Nelson could recover from an ankle issue.

What this means: Both teams show stability in formation but carry fitness doubts that could shift their respective backlines. Forest’s attack hinges on Gibbs-White’s creativity, while Leicester will look to Vardy’s movement to stretch the hosts’ defence.

What is the score between Nottingham Forest and Leicester?

Historical data from FootyStats (football analytics platform) reveals that across 16 meetings, Forest have won 6, Leicester 5, with 5 draws. Forest have scored 27 goals to Leicester’s 26 across those fixtures.

Live score updates

The most recent head-to-head encounter reportedly ended 2-2, with the match tied 1-1 at halftime and a goal recorded in the 81st minute. Opta Analyst (Premier League data provider) gave Leicester a 34.7% win probability in the earlier matchup, with a 26.8% chance of a draw.

Recent head-to-head

The win percentages break down to Forest at 38%, Leicester at 31%, and draws at 31%. Forest are aiming for their first league double over Leicester in recent memory, according to VegasOdds (sports betting analysis).

The implication: Close margins define this rivalry. With both clubs in recent recovery mode—Forest licking wounds from a heavy loss, Leicester fighting to avoid the drop—the 11 May fixture sits on a knife’s edge.

Who is the 15 year old player in Leicester City?

Jeremy Monga made history by becoming Leicester City’s second-youngest debutant when he came on as a substitute at 15 years old, according to sources tracking Premier League youth records. This milestone placed him firmly in the spotlight as one of the club’s most talked-about teenage prospects heading into the 2024/2025 season.

Jeremy Monga debut details

Monga’s introduction into first-team football represented a rare occurrence in England’s top tier, where players of such youth are exceptionally rare. The Premier League’s official squad listings document the club’s youth movement across the season.

Whether Monga features on 11 May remains speculative, but his presence in the squad signals Leicester’s willingness to blood young talent under pressure.

Who beat Nottingham Forest 5-0?

AFC Bournemouth handed Nottingham Forest their heaviest defeat of the season in a 5-0 thrashing that sent shockwaves through the club. Dango Ouattara reportedly scored a hat-trick in that match, exposing defensive frailties that Forest have since been working to address.

Bournemouth match recap

The defeat was described by Forest manager Scott Parker as the worst in his managerial career, a stark admission that underscores how damaging the result was for squad morale. The match exposed gaps in Forest’s defensive organisation and prompted questions about tactical discipline heading into subsequent fixtures.

The catch

Forest must regroup quickly from that 5-0 loss before facing their East Midlands rivals. The psychological weight of that result could influence their approach at the City Ground, potentially making them more conservative or, conversely, desperate for redemption.

What are the odds of Leicester winning?

According to Opta Analyst (Premier League data provider), Leicester carried a 34.7% probability of winning the earlier fixture, with draws rated at 26.8%. 22Bet (sportsbook predictions) offers Forest as the favourite at odds of 1.34 for a win, with a predicted 2-0 Forest victory.

Betting odds overview

The betting landscape reflects Forest’s home advantage and slight edge in historical head-to-head record. VegasOdds notes that Leicester’s famous 5000-1 long-shot title run from a previous season has become a reference point for their underdog status.

The pattern: Leicester’s odds suggest they’re not expected to win, yet their underlying data (Opta’s 34.7%) indicates genuine upset potential if their key players fire.

When comparing the key metrics for this derby, Forest hold the historical edge while Leicester’s data-driven win probability offers cautious optimism.

Metric Nottingham Forest Leicester City
Formation 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1
H2H wins 6 5
H2H win % 38% 31%
H2H goals scored 27 26
Key striker Chris Wood Jamie Vardy
Key midfielder Morgan Gibbs-White Jordan Ayew
Home/Away Home Away
Win probability (Opta) Not stated 34.7%
Bet365 odds for win 1.34 Not stated

Match timeline

Understanding the context of this fixture requires a look at the events that have shaped both clubs entering May 2025.

Period Event
2024/2025 Season Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest scheduled
Prior match H2H ended 2-2 with goal in 81st minute
October 2024 Earlier Forest vs Leicester preview published
Recent Bournemouth 5-0 Nottingham Forest
Pre-May 2025 Stolarczyk missed five games with groin injury
11 May 2025 Match at City Ground, 13:15 UTC

The match timeline shows Forest carrying momentum from their historical advantage, but recent form—including that humbling Bournemouth defeat—leaves questions about their defensive solidity heading into the derby.

Confirmed facts

  • Match date and time: 11 May 2025, 13:15 UTC
  • Premier League official squad listings available
  • 16 historical H2H meetings documented
  • Forest lead H2H 6-5 with 5 draws
  • Both clubs confirmed for Premier League 2024/2025

What’s still unclear

  • Official starting lineups pending match-day release
  • Murillo’s fitness status uncertain
  • Stolarczyk’s potential return unconfirmed
  • Jeremy Monga’s match-day inclusion unknown
  • Actual scoreline cannot be predicted with certainty

What sources are saying

Nottingham Forest to win Odds:1.34 (22Bet) Score prediction: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Leicester City — 22Bet

Leicester have an encouraging 34.7% chance of victory, with the draw ranked at 26.8% — Opta Analyst

It’s the worst defeat in my history, EVER! — Scott Parker (Forest manager, on Bournemouth loss)

Bottom line: Forest hold a narrow historical edge over Leicester heading into the 11 May derby, but recent form—including that humbling 5-0 Bournemouth defeat—leaves questions about their defensive solidity. Both clubs reportedly field 4-2-3-1 setups, with Gibbs-White and Vardy as their respective key men. For Leicester fans, the 34.7% win probability from Opta Analyst offers cautious optimism; for Forest supporters, the home crowd and 1.34 favourite status suggest their side should control the narrative. Fitness doubts (Murillo, Stolarczyk) mean the final XI could swing the outcome either way.

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These predicted lineups for Forest’s 4-2-3-1 and Leicester’s Vardy-led side align closely with confirmed teams and match stats from the eventual 2-2 draw.

Frequently asked questions

Who was the owner of Leicester City who died in a helicopter crash?

KhaledVpard, Leicester City’s owner at the time, died in a helicopter crash outside the club’s stadium in 2018, a tragedy that sent shockwaves through football and led to significant changes in the club’s ownership structure.

What are the Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City stats today?

Across 16 historical meetings, Forest have won 6 times, Leicester 5 times, with 5 draws. Forest have scored 27 goals to Leicester’s 26. Win percentages sit at 38% for Forest, 31% for Leicester, and 31% for draws.

What is the Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City timeline?

The clubs have met 16 times historically, with the most recent H2H ending 2-2. The upcoming fixture on 11 May 2025 at 13:15 UTC represents another chapter in the East Midlands Derby rivalry.

What is the Nottingham Forest vs Leicester City score?

Historical scores favour Forest slightly (6 wins to 5). The upcoming match score cannot be confirmed until the fixture is played. Predictions range from a 2-0 Forest win (22Bet) to Leicester pulling an upset.

What is the Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest prediction?

22Bet predicts Nottingham Forest to win 2-0 with odds of 1.34. Opta Analyst gives Leicester a 34.7% win probability and a 26.8% chance of a draw.